PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dontasks

0x5cc2056063aec306f6d1fe320d125678bcfb2322

Realised P&L
$-557.35
Volume
$20.6k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$29.66

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0020.009$4.25+$3.25
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins? · Yes0.3300.580$1.76+$0.76
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0390.043$1.09+$0.09
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5700.585$1.03+$0.03
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · Yes0.4900.495$1.01+$0.01
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? · No0.3900.390$1.00+$0.00
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5900.585$0.99$0.01
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? · Yes0.3900.380$0.97$0.03
Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? · Yes0.4250.413$0.97$0.03
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá? · Yes0.4800.465$0.97$0.03
Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? · Yes0.6400.610$0.95$0.05
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? · Yes0.3780.360$0.95$0.05
Will Capitão Wagner win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election? · Yes0.1000.095$0.95$0.05
Will Arthur Lira win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election? · Yes0.4300.405$0.94$0.06
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? · Yes0.6000.565$0.94$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 02:08Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.0389999995$1.00
09-16 02:08Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.002$1.00
09-16 02:042026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5699999886$1.00
09-16 02:03Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
09-16 02:00Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?BUY0.1849999797$1.00
09-16 01:59Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?BUY0.7299994744$1.00
09-16 01:59Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?BUY0.64$1.00
09-16 01:58Will Arthur Lira win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-16 01:52Will Alcides Fernandes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?BUY0.0654771648$1.00
09-16 01:51Will Capitão Wagner win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?BUY0.1$1.00
09-16 01:48Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-16 01:47Will Carol de Toni win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
09-16 01:45Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-16 01:44Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?BUY0.4249998513$1.00
09-16 01:43Will Mendonça Filho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?BUY0.3299998944$1.00