0x5C9ABc2Bf690E7F21CF83442265D82921a67Fb12-1772553676781
0x5c9abc2bf690e7f21cf83442265d82921a67fb12
- Realised P&L
- $13.25
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $437.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.62at 0.669Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- +$9.58at 0.530No one announced as next James Bond?
- +$6.32at 0.780SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
- +$3.30at 0.617Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?
- +$2.12at 0.706Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 09:11 | Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? | BUY | 0.2299999987 | $9.00 |
| 10-26 08:19 | Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.4099999936 | $14.00 |
| 10-23 09:06 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $4.00 |
| 10-21 08:41 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999909 | $9.00 |
| 10-21 08:40 | Will Chengdu Rongcheng win Chinese Super League? | BUY | 0.8989999969 | $8.00 |
| 10-18 07:38 | Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | BUY | 0.8299999975 | $20.00 |
| 10-18 07:37 | Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999832 | $14.00 |
| 10-16 14:26 | Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | BUY | 0.7950738884 | $20.00 |
| 10-16 14:25 | Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 08:08 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $36.85 |
| 10-13 08:05 | Kash Patel out by December 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $20.00 |
| 10-12 11:41 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.8299999902 | $11.00 |
| 10-12 11:40 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $20.00 |
| 10-08 08:50 | Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.? | BUY | 0.809999998 | $16.00 |
| 10-08 08:48 | Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026? | BUY | 0.7829999965 | $20.00 |