KingMushroom
0x5c96781daf2e1c1d46559559942377fd951d7f3a
- Realised P&L
- $83.85
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $152.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$144.65at 0.388Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?
- +$48.11at 0.560Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$40.24at 0.423Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
- +$14.40at 0.415S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?
- +$10.18at 0.496U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 19:29 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | BUY | 0.3889999981 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 19:29 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? | BUY | 0.6306039964 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 14:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $5.61 |
| 09-24 18:49 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 19:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 20:23 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 25%-30%? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 20:23 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.1281766442 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 20:18 | Will Chinda Kingsley Ogundu win the 2027 Rivers State gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.8299999842 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 20:18 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027? | BUY | 0.8675707853 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 14:29 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.4059405832 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 21:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.4 | $60.60 |
| 08-19 02:28 | Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.5728394956 | $20.00 |
| 08-19 01:14 | Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.7635420086 | $90.24 |
| 08-19 01:12 | Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.669999995 | $20.00 |
| 08-19 00:31 | Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.7399999911 | $20.00 |