PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

KingMushroom

0x5c96781daf2e1c1d46559559942377fd951d7f3a

Realised P&L
$83.85
Volume
$8.4k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$152.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)79.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 19:29Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?BUY0.3889999981$20.00
10-06 19:29Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?BUY0.6306039964$50.00
10-02 14:34US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.23$5.61
09-24 18:49S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 25?BUY0.7199999942$10.00
09-22 19:07US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.4099999984$10.00
09-17 20:23Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?BUY0.2$20.00
09-17 20:23Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?BUY0.1281766442$20.00
09-17 20:18Will Chinda Kingsley Ogundu win the 2027 Rivers State gubernatorial election?BUY0.8299999842$20.00
09-17 20:18U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?BUY0.8675707853$20.00
09-16 14:29S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?BUY0.4059405832$10.00
08-26 21:03Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.4$60.60
08-19 02:28Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?BUY0.5728394956$20.00
08-19 01:14Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?SELL0.7635420086$90.24
08-19 01:12Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.669999995$20.00
08-19 00:31Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.7399999911$20.00