PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

endo2

0x5c2956099d77137c3dc5f0321f9214ff891ed822

Realised P&L
$-4.1k
Volume
$4.24M
Markets traded
1,026
Open portfolio
$46.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,026
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.065$26.00$22.00
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? · Yes0.0600.066$6.55+$0.55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.5470.935$4.68+$1.94
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? · Yes0.1000.869$4.34+$3.85
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.2340.841$4.20+$3.03
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0900.055$0.55$0.35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1490.041$0.20$0.54
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2410.000$0.00$43.40
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5570.000$0.00$11.14
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00$12.60
Spread: England (-1.5) · England0.4900.000$0.00$20.58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? · Yes0.2290.000$0.00$577.41
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$19.80
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$5.50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$32.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 20:22France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.42$4.20
07-09 20:19France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.45$13.50
07-09 19:59Spread: Morocco (-1.5)BUY0.039$5.07
07-09 19:58France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.52$10.40
07-09 19:35France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.51$10.20
07-09 19:34Morocco to score first vs. France?BUY0.28$5.60
07-09 19:34Spread: Morocco (-1.5)BUY0.041$4.92
07-09 19:33Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.1425$9.97
07-05 22:34Spread: Mexico (-2.5)BUY0.03$10.20
07-05 22:34Spread: Mexico (-1.5)BUY0.12$12.00
07-05 22:33Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.32$32.00
07-04 21:41Spread: France (-2.5)BUY0.21$10.50
07-04 21:40Spread: France (-1.5)BUY0.48$9.60
07-04 21:09Spread: France (-2.5)BUY0.3$12.00
07-04 21:09Spread: France (-1.5)BUY0.56$28.00