forinnerpsandr1x11222
0x5c14eb6a6d5083c003daa8241ed559d2dc82cc49
- Realised P&L
- $89.2k
- Volume
- $3.73M
- Markets traded
- 305
- Open portfolio
- $499.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded305
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.8kat 0.633Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$30.4kat 0.668Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- +$15.7kat 0.098Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- +$14.1kat 0.644Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
- +$9.6kat 0.675Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 08:02 | Putin visits US by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8694998313 | $567.07 |
| 10-29 07:59 | Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31? | BUY | 0.9986838199 | $1.2k |
| 10-26 02:21 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $4.08 |
| 10-26 02:19 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.1k |
| 10-26 02:08 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.0k |
| 10-12 01:47 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8689295791 | $3.0k |
| 10-11 06:30 | Plague pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.975 | $19.50 |
| 10-11 06:30 | Plague pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.9755971203 | $9.8k |
| 10-11 06:21 | Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | BUY | 0.9556913902 | $1.7k |
| 10-09 09:10 | Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.0k |
| 10-09 09:09 | Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.0k |
| 10-09 09:08 | Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.7k |
| 10-09 09:07 | Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.997074125 | $19.9k |
| 10-09 09:07 | Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $2.0k |
| 10-09 09:05 | Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual? | BUY | 0.999 | $119.88 |