PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

forinnerpsandr1x11222

0x5c14eb6a6d5083c003daa8241ed559d2dc82cc49

Realised P&L
$89.2k
Volume
$3.73M
Markets traded
305
Open portfolio
$499.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded305
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.876$76.6k+$32.9k
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8420.966$63.2k+$8.1k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.5160.983$60.0k+$28.5k
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.5260.977$56.8k+$26.2k
Plague pandemic in 2026? · No0.9630.979$46.2k+$737.77
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.8950.981$28.7k+$2.5k
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.978$28.4k+$3.4k
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? · No0.9060.972$25.4k+$1.7k
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9120.980$23.3k+$1.6k
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.2220.565$15.1k+$9.2k
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.123$10.8k−$32.9k
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · No0.9981.000$8.9k+$17.78
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.8290.870$8.7k+$410.15
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · No0.7990.845$7.7k+$419.34
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.9400.983$4.8k+$208.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 08:02Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8694998313$567.07
10-29 07:59Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?BUY0.9986838199$1.2k
10-26 02:21Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.68$4.08
10-26 02:19Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.998$3.1k
10-26 02:08Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.999$25.0k
10-12 01:47Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8689295791$3.0k
10-11 06:30Plague pandemic in 2026?BUY0.975$19.50
10-11 06:30Plague pandemic in 2026?BUY0.9755971203$9.8k
10-11 06:21Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?BUY0.9556913902$1.7k
10-09 09:10Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.998$5.0k
10-09 09:09Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.999$3.0k
10-09 09:08Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.999$9.7k
10-09 09:07Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.997074125$19.9k
10-09 09:07Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.996$2.0k
10-09 09:05Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?BUY0.999$119.88