forinnerpsandr1x11222
0x5c14eb6a6d5083c003daa8241ed559d2dc82cc49
- Realised P&L
- $106.0k
- Volume
- $3.45M
- Markets traded
- 276
- Open portfolio
- $525.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded276
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.7kat 0.098Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- +$14.1kat 0.644Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
- +$9.6kat 0.675Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
- +$7.3kat 0.862Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$6.6kat 0.553Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 14:45 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.4838642399 | $843.55 |
| 09-04 05:14 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win fewer than 45 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.8089333333 | $606.70 |
| 09-04 05:02 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8456099328 | $863.59 |
| 09-04 04:03 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.62 | $97.20 |
| 09-03 07:39 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.1k |
| 09-01 13:29 | Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.2471151266 | $272.56 |
| 09-01 13:16 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.90 |
| 08-30 14:38 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.6388020589 | $7.7k |
| 08-29 14:45 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.63 | $6.7k |
| 08-29 12:12 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.3k |
| 08-29 12:04 | Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.9473892795 | $5.0k |
| 08-29 11:38 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.61 | $10.2k |
| 08-29 10:49 | Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.944 | $4.72 |
| 08-29 10:47 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $349.60 |
| 08-29 10:43 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7043989129 | $1.1k |