TheArbTraderMax
0x5b99e72e35c1d3c6b6898d3c2cd953aa0b893035
- Realised P&L
- $-112.07
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 181
- Open portfolio
- $57.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded181
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.74at 0.125Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 28?
- +$33.17at 0.337Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Draw at halftime?
- +$30.11at 0.239Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
- +$19.30at 0.357Liaoning Tieren FC leading at halftime?
- +$13.04at 0.274Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on September 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.7509139094 | $4.00 |
| 09-22 22:00 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.69 | $4.00 |
| 09-22 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 09-22 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.5899999145 | $4.00 |
| 09-22 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $4.00 |
| 09-22 11:00 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.00 |
| 09-22 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.7399999593 | $4.00 |
| 09-22 05:00 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $4.00 |
| 09-22 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.6222221669 | $4.00 |
| 09-21 21:00 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3899999717 | $4.00 |
| 09-21 20:00 | CA Barracas Central vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6599999505 | $4.00 |
| 09-21 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on September 22? | BUY | 0.128870972 | $4.75 |
| 09-21 17:00 | CA Aldosivi vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6599999505 | $4.00 |
| 09-21 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.6099999451 | $4.00 |
| 09-21 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $4.00 |