PolyBot

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Traders

TheArbTraderMax

0x5b99e72e35c1d3c6b6898d3c2cd953aa0b893035

Realised P&L
$-112.07
Volume
$7.6k
Markets traded
181
Open portfolio
$57.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded181
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 22? · No0.5200.995$7.65+$3.65
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 22? · No0.6101.000$6.55+$2.55
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 22? · No0.7401.000$5.40+$1.40
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6800.715$4.21+$0.21
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 29, 2026? · No0.6400.670$4.19+$0.19
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3900.405$4.15+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 23? · No0.8000.825$4.13+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 23? · No0.6400.655$4.09+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 23? · No0.7510.735$3.92$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 23? · No0.5900.575$3.90$0.10
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5100.445$3.49$0.51
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 21? · No0.8000.500$2.50$1.50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1600.075$1.88$2.13
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves · Atlanta Braves0.6900.210$1.22$2.78
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on September 22? · No0.5700.004$0.02$3.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 23:00Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 23?BUY0.7509139094$4.00
09-22 22:00Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.69$4.00
09-22 18:00Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 23?BUY0.8$4.00
09-22 16:00Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 23?BUY0.5899999145$4.00
09-22 16:00Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 23?BUY0.64$4.00
09-22 11:00US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.16$4.00
09-22 06:00Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 22?BUY0.7399999593$4.00
09-22 05:00Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5099999516$4.00
09-22 05:00Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 22?BUY0.6222221669$4.00
09-21 21:00Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3899999717$4.00
09-21 20:00CA Barracas Central vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5BUY0.6599999505$4.00
09-21 20:00Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on September 22?BUY0.128870972$4.75
09-21 17:00CA Aldosivi vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 2.5BUY0.6599999505$4.00
09-21 15:00Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 22?BUY0.6099999451$4.00
09-21 15:00Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 22?BUY0.5199999792$4.00