0x5b7fb4b214a26ebbbc0862cbe51b11261c85f401
- Realised P&L
- $21.65
- Volume
- $153.27
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $30.06
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar14.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.41at 0.270S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$4.45at 0.310Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Michigan remarks?
- +$1.95at 0.400Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?
- +$1.59at 0.470Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in July?
- +$1.59at 0.470Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 11:36 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 03:35 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.34999993 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 03:35 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599998024 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 19:33 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 11:33 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 03:32 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.7699997035 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 19:32 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 11:18 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 03:17 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 19:17 | Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 10:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 00:56 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 16:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 08:05 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998884 | $1.92 |
| 07-31 23:28 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.83 |