0x5Af5aCbe8Dbb78FC5B34166D56b7CbEe5dB15FCc-1767607304056
0x5af5acbe8dbb78fc5b34166d56b7cbee5db15fcc
- Realised P&L
- $157.77
- Volume
- $20.8k
- Markets traded
- 188
- Open portfolio
- $344.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded188
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.68at 0.895Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
- +$30.61at 0.968Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$29.62at 0.949Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
- +$25.13at 0.849Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
- +$17.24at 0.920Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 08:01 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9099999842 | $4.02 |
| 10-08 11:49 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.98 |
| 10-08 11:48 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 11:47 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.9199999937 | $5.82 |
| 10-08 11:46 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999732 | $4.00 |
| 10-08 11:39 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999873 | $9.48 |
| 10-03 19:19 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.649999987 | $15.00 |
| 10-03 19:18 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.97 |
| 10-03 19:18 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat? | BUY | 0.976 | $24.97 |
| 10-03 19:17 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9399999987 | $15.00 |
| 10-03 19:15 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | BUY | 0.9499999638 | $21.00 |
| 10-03 19:14 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October? | BUY | 0.9759999998 | $40.00 |
| 10-03 19:10 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.8299999948 | $19.00 |
| 10-03 19:10 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.9299999996 | $49.94 |
| 10-03 19:09 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9399999991 | $21.67 |