PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gjfjh

0x5adbb8579cc5d322ab47c962315dbb80dabb4c7a

Realised P&L
$-498.97
Volume
$55.4k
Markets traded
267
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded267
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No0.9600.997$709.85+$26.37
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9770.972$218.59−$1.19
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by October 31? · No0.9200.995$45.94+$3.44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7010.845$42.85+$7.31
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.8700.965$19.15+$1.88
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · No0.8250.978$12.60+$1.97
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · No0.9570.980$4.93+$0.11
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.7800.165$0.49−$1.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 04:58Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?BUY0.989$29.67
10-13 17:14Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.976875$195.38
10-13 17:13Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.976$24.40
09-30 14:03Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.96$428.64
09-30 14:03Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.958$11.49
09-23 17:30Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by October 31?BUY0.92$42.49
09-23 17:29Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?SELL0.999$247.25
08-01 14:57Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?SELL0.581$1.05
07-26 05:00Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?SELL0.94$41.85
06-20 08:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.09$4.42
05-27 04:55Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.88$17.82
05-10 11:58Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.92$9.10
05-10 11:40Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.92$6.82
05-01 03:12Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?SELL0.38$37.62
04-27 08:17Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.91$0.56