PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

MMMGD

0x5a42a4b3ee3fc0dbf88be8f07d64d45bb3071991

Realised P&L
$16.64
Volume
$687.39
Markets traded
92
Open portfolio
$19.66

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded92
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3680.484$6.58+$1.58
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2010.192$1.91−$0.09
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4010.225$1.69−$1.31
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4320.273$1.26−$0.74
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.5110.623$1.22+$0.22
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes0.5330.140$1.05−$2.95
Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14? · No0.7400.745$1.01+$0.01
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.7700.775$1.01+$0.01
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13? · No0.9000.900$1.00+$0.00
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17? · Yes0.7000.695$0.99−$0.01
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.9200.895$0.97−$0.03
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1780.086$0.97−$1.03
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1330.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 15:37Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.7$1.00
10-05 15:37Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.92$1.00
10-05 15:34Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.74$1.00
10-05 15:31Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.9$1.00
10-05 15:31Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.77$1.00
10-05 15:30Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.78$1.00
10-05 15:21Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.4319999654$2.00
10-05 15:20Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.5109997813$1.00
07-09 20:30Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.7524999981$1.00
07-09 20:29Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5699998233$1.00
07-01 13:56Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
07-01 13:55Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.54$1.00
07-01 13:55Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.8099999757$1.00
07-01 13:54Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.75$1.00
06-27 07:25Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.8299992198$1.00