PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x599bf29edb70ab187aaf5cc8f466392996501155

0x599bf29edb70ab187aaf5cc8f466392996501155

Realised P&L
$-99.49
Volume
$24.5k
Markets traded
159
Open portfolio
$289.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded159
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Montana? · No0.3800.995$25.86+$15.98
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6370.625$21.52−$0.42
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during his Midterm Rally in Montana? · No0.4701.000$20.42+$10.82
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? · No0.8680.879$17.61+$0.22
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8760.874$17.48−$0.05
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8100.805$13.85−$0.09
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · No0.7350.735$13.35+$0.00
Will Trump say "America First" during his Midterm Rally in Montana? · No0.8201.000$12.14+$2.18
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? · No0.6300.595$12.03−$0.71
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8240.835$10.91+$0.15
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5920.595$9.61+$0.06
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7220.705$8.52−$0.21
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · No0.8180.833$5.00+$0.09
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6180.615$4.92−$0.02
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.6720.693$4.85+$0.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 23:55Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Montana?BUY0.38$9.88
10-14 23:46Will Trump say "Hormuz" during his Midterm Rally in Montana?BUY0.469999998$9.60
10-14 23:16Will Trump say "Great Falls" during his Midterm Rally in Montana?BUY0.5299999749$9.52
10-14 22:36Will Trump say "America First" during his Midterm Rally in Montana?BUY0.8199999638$9.96
10-14 04:35Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8699999941$4.40
10-14 00:37Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7099999573$4.32
10-14 00:17Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election?BUY0.7599999671$4.62
10-14 00:12Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%?BUY0.8299999941$4.20
10-13 20:20Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.854999992$4.28
10-13 20:07Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.878999977$4.40
10-13 19:30Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.8099998765$4.92
10-13 18:43Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?BUY0.8989999525$4.50
10-13 17:26Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?BUY0.6299999578$4.48
10-13 17:15Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?BUY0.68$4.76
10-13 17:15Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?BUY0.63$4.41