0x599bf29edb70ab187aaf5cc8f466392996501155
0x599bf29edb70ab187aaf5cc8f466392996501155
- Realised P&L
- $-99.49
- Volume
- $24.5k
- Markets traded
- 159
- Open portfolio
- $289.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded159
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$78.22at 0.249Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-08-30?
- +$8.17at 0.651Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?
- +$6.51at 0.701Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?
- +$3.83at 0.798UFC Fight Night: Trevor Peek vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Prelims)
- +$3.18at 0.818Will Ghazl El Mahalla SC win on 2026-09-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 23:55 | Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Montana? | BUY | 0.38 | $9.88 |
| 10-14 23:46 | Will Trump say "Hormuz" during his Midterm Rally in Montana? | BUY | 0.469999998 | $9.60 |
| 10-14 23:16 | Will Trump say "Great Falls" during his Midterm Rally in Montana? | BUY | 0.5299999749 | $9.52 |
| 10-14 22:36 | Will Trump say "America First" during his Midterm Rally in Montana? | BUY | 0.8199999638 | $9.96 |
| 10-14 04:35 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8699999941 | $4.40 |
| 10-14 00:37 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999573 | $4.32 |
| 10-14 00:17 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election? | BUY | 0.7599999671 | $4.62 |
| 10-14 00:12 | Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.8299999941 | $4.20 |
| 10-13 20:20 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.854999992 | $4.28 |
| 10-13 20:07 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.878999977 | $4.40 |
| 10-13 19:30 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.8099998765 | $4.92 |
| 10-13 18:43 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.8989999525 | $4.50 |
| 10-13 17:26 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.6299999578 | $4.48 |
| 10-13 17:15 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? | BUY | 0.68 | $4.76 |
| 10-13 17:15 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.63 | $4.41 |