66152
0x598b9767946cc60f95d1b934c17cde0ac347d526
- Realised P&L
- $-345.25
- Volume
- $108.4k
- Markets traded
- 410
- Open portfolio
- $433.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded410
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.82at 0.073Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$85.62at 0.489Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
- +$38.05at 0.738Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$28.10at 0.717US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$22.05at 0.265Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 06:31 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 06:31 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 09-06 06:31 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in September? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 09-05 06:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-05 06:31 | Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 09-05 06:31 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 09-05 06:31 | Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 09-05 06:31 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-05 06:31 | Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 09-05 06:31 | Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 09-05 06:31 | Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 09-04 06:31 | Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 09-04 06:31 | Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 09-04 06:31 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 09-04 06:31 | Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.90 |