ManAreBrave
0x58c6a0116e790ebf1569604efa3edaddcfeed759
- Realised P&L
- $-8.8k
- Volume
- $313.4k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.443US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
- +$1.1kat 0.143US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?
- +$401.92at 0.732US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
- +$366.98at 0.836US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$323.83at 0.500Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.2495602748 | $500.00 |
| 09-17 17:23 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BUY | 0.055098511 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 17:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.09 | $239.31 |
| 09-17 17:19 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.0594613397 | $200.00 |
| 09-17 17:18 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 17:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | BUY | 0.1114116597 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 17:15 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0652018939 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 12:28 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.0899999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 12:27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | BUY | 0.1788993064 | $250.00 |
| 09-15 12:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.11 | $406.49 |
| 09-15 02:56 | Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 08:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.21 | $978.54 |
| 09-12 06:42 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999996 | $42.54 |
| 09-10 12:54 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 12:45 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.0440759706 | $15.00 |