PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ManAreBrave

0x58c6a0116e790ebf1569604efa3edaddcfeed759

Realised P&L
$-8.8k
Volume
$313.4k
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.1490.055$993.70$1.7k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? · Yes0.0650.046$284.20$115.79
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · Yes0.0600.070$237.00+$35.01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · Yes0.2490.115$230.41$269.59
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · Yes0.0650.005$171.98$1.8k
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1310.145$113.24+$11.25
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? · No0.0550.039$70.78$29.22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? · Yes0.1110.056$50.26$49.74
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes0.0300.030$49.98$0.02
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0760.040$35.55$32.85
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? · Yes0.0110.004$19.21$25.79
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0540.046$17.17$2.82
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · Yes0.1430.128$13.44$1.56
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · Yes0.0440.036$12.42$2.58
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0700.065$9.29$0.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 17:24Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.2495602748$500.00
09-17 17:23Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.055098511$100.00
09-17 17:22Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.09$239.31
09-17 17:19Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.0594613397$200.00
09-17 17:18NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999999$100.00
09-17 17:17Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?BUY0.1114116597$100.00
09-17 17:15Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0652018939$5.00
09-15 12:28Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.0899999999$100.00
09-15 12:27Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?BUY0.1788993064$250.00
09-15 12:25Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.11$406.49
09-15 02:56Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?BUY0.05$2.00
09-14 08:01Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.21$978.54
09-12 06:42Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2099999996$42.54
09-10 12:54China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.0699999994$5.00
09-10 12:45Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?BUY0.0440759706$15.00