PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

mrvv0230

0x58be245b3f86acc75369f86b85c3d2631f2d63b4

Realised P&L
$-593.40
Volume
$130.6k
Markets traded
93
Open portfolio
$9.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded93
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.5000.935$2.3k+$1.1k
Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.945$1.9k+$888.50
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.3070.285$1.4k$110.19
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.5000.962$1.0k+$484.13
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.5000.956$995.00+$474.33
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No0.5000.945$378.00+$178.00
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1270.125$365.15$5.60
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.894$178.90+$78.90
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.5000.065$162.36$1.1k
Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5000.055$109.81$888.50
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.5000.839$57.02+$23.02
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.5000.044$46.34$474.33
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.5000.038$40.39$484.13
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.5000.055$22.00$178.00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.105$21.10$78.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 08:06Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.13$262.76
09-11 08:51Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.28$103.60
09-11 08:51Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.28$840.00
09-07 14:35Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.32$201.58
07-06 09:53United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.53$54.06
06-24 16:18Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002$58.64
06-05 18:42Knicks vs. SpursBUY0.68$30.60
06-05 10:20Knicks vs. SpursBUY0.67$167.49
05-25 20:42Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)BUY0.36$1.77
05-14 19:55Golden Knights vs. DucksBUY0.5$40.00
05-06 15:50Ducks vs. Golden KnightsBUY0.6$60.00
05-05 07:52Wild vs. AvalancheBUY0.65$65.00
05-04 16:03Ducks vs. Golden KnightsBUY0.61$61.00
05-03 10:47Wild vs. AvalancheBUY0.64$64.00
05-02 14:48Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5BUY0.52$15.60