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0x58501a25e7cf486c4e92d38902871f6cef795eb8
- Realised P&L
- $-22.47
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $224.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.00at 0.500Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
- +$6.26at 0.500US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
- +$5.95at 0.962Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
- +$5.89at 0.500Katana FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$5.84at 0.500Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-07 07:18 | Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31? | BUY | 0.975 | $4.88 |
| 03-07 07:17 | Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31? | SELL | 0.974 | $4.87 |
| 03-07 02:11 | Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 200k and 250k? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.48 |
| 03-06 11:58 | Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.49 |
| 03-05 06:07 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.889 | $7.56 |
| 03-05 06:06 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.892 | $7.58 |
| 03-05 06:00 | Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $8.16 |
| 03-05 05:39 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.962 | $8.18 |
| 03-04 08:05 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.9 | $7.65 |
| 03-04 07:49 | Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas? | BUY | 0.95 | $8.17 |
| 03-04 07:47 | Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas? | BUY | 0.95 | $0.21 |
| 03-04 06:18 | Will Michael B. Jordan attend the Oscars? | BUY | 0.992 | $5.30 |
| 03-04 06:09 | Will Canada strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.977 | $8.30 |
| 03-04 06:05 | Will Canada strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.977 | $8.30 |
| 03-04 05:16 | 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.74 |