forwhat
0x58107da5d7c21fa4573301672fa9a95d60ec8265
- Realised P&L
- $76.26
- Volume
- $24.0k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $302.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.350 | 0.255 | $298.60 | −$111.43 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.015 | $2.43 | +$1.33 |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.002 | $0.51 | −$0.51 |
| Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.002 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.007 | $0.01 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$270.10at 0.103Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$69.81at 0.038Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$33.96at 0.241Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
- +$8.40at 0.265Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
- +$4.25at 0.017Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 21:21 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.92 |
| 09-15 21:20 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $1.19 |
| 09-15 21:20 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.28 |
| 09-15 21:19 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.35 |
| 09-12 18:50 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 09-12 18:50 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $4.07 |
| 09-12 18:50 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.21 | $10.50 |
| 09-12 18:49 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.0068125293 | $3.34 |
| 09-04 21:45 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.35 |
| 09-04 21:43 | Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.73 |
| 09-04 21:41 | Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.73 |
| 09-04 21:38 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.023 | $5.28 |
| 09-04 21:37 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.056 | $0.45 |
| 09-03 20:42 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.167 | $1.67 |
| 09-03 20:42 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.16870014 | $8.43 |