PolyBot

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Traders

0x57c9CB8B640F5054e8e1CD297f8267b51fb564e7-1772432615977

0x57c9cb8b640f5054e8e1cd297f8267b51fb564e7

Realised P&L
$2.32
Volume
$201.29
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$7.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.7600.775$3.88+$0.07
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.8700.945$1.09+$0.09
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8950.957$1.07+$0.07
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9110.972$1.07+$0.07
Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$0.01$0.01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.6400.000$0.00$3.20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$0.58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · No0.9000.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-05 14:21Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9$1.00
05-03 08:45US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.64$3.20
05-03 08:10Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
05-03 07:47Will Trump visit China by June 30?SELL0.043$0.26
04-29 05:21Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?SELL0.5$2.00
04-23 12:50Will Trump visit China by June 30?BUY0.18$1.08
04-23 12:49Will Trump visit China by May 31?BUY0.76$3.80
04-23 12:21Will Trump visit China by May 31?SELL0.24$0.80
04-15 09:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
04-15 08:21Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?BUY0.6$0.97
04-13 06:13Will Trump visit China by May 31?BUY0.29999982$1.00
04-13 05:23Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.9109999681$1.00
04-08 02:03Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?BUY0.4$1.00
03-05 09:26Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.559004746$0.97
03-05 09:21Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETBUY0.6799998912$0.98