PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

maxosta90

0x577f67f308e281dd89faf9ff46a2b6e918b1152f

Realised P&L
$-48.82
Volume
$10.8k
Markets traded
464
Open portfolio
$127.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded464
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0990.154$15.67+$5.67
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? · No0.8200.825$13.09+$0.09
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.1300.585$8.99+$6.99
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1730.517$8.97+$5.97
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0540.154$8.58+$5.58
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.3600.575$7.99+$2.99
Will England win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.7100.715$7.05+$0.05
Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.8200.825$7.04+$0.04
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September? · No0.3100.945$6.10+$4.10
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · Yes0.4300.295$4.12−$1.88
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1380.037$4.06−$10.94
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.2200.240$3.27+$0.27
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.4700.305$3.24−$1.76
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · No0.3100.315$3.05+$0.05
Will France win on 2026-09-28? · Yes0.5200.515$2.97−$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 14:16Will England win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.7099999949$7.00
09-27 14:16Will Spain win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.819999993$7.00
09-27 14:16Will Moldova vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?BUY0.3399999966$2.00
09-27 14:16Will Northern Ireland vs. Hungary end in a draw?BUY0.32$2.00
09-27 14:16Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.6899999821$5.00
09-27 14:15Will Wales win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.1099999951$2.00
09-27 14:15Will Norway vs. Portugal end in a draw?BUY0.25$2.00
09-27 14:15Will Norway vs. Portugal end in a draw?BUY0.25$2.00
09-27 14:15Will Germany win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.6799999932$8.00
09-27 14:15Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.3599999712$3.00
09-27 14:15Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.3699999593$3.00
09-27 14:14Will France win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.5199999792$3.00
09-27 14:14Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.3699999593$3.00
09-27 14:14Will Lithuania vs. Azerbaijan end in a draw?BUY0.4699999796$3.00
09-27 14:12Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Coleman WongBUY0.5999999829$7.00