PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TrueThinker

0x57425f4a03a559a53fb6a129e3e03b6571ee50a6

Realised P&L
$0.00
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$581.89

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration93.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? · Yes0.6670.560$545.69−$104.31
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026 · Yes0.0360.040$11.11+$1.11
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027? · Yes0.2100.205$9.29−$0.23
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0170.013$7.94−$2.06
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.055$7.86−$2.14

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 00:02Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?BUY0.2099999969$9.52
10-12 00:02Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999999$10.00
10-12 00:02Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026BUY0.0360178649$10.00
10-12 00:01Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?BUY0.017$10.00
10-11 23:55Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?BUY0.6670457659$650.00