TrueThinker
0x57425f4a03a559a53fb6a129e3e03b6571ee50a6
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $581.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration93.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? · Yes | 0.667 | 0.560 | $545.69 | −$104.31 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026 · Yes | 0.036 | 0.040 | $11.11 | +$1.11 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.205 | $9.29 | −$0.23 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.013 | $7.94 | −$2.06 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.055 | $7.86 | −$2.14 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 00:02 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2099999969 | $9.52 |
| 10-12 00:02 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 00:02 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026 | BUY | 0.0360178649 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 00:01 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.017 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 23:55 | Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | BUY | 0.6670457659 | $650.00 |