PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

redvinny

0x56c9fbdeccf198f1f5ad95ace39b24f5f7fb0d9e

Realised P&L
$-984.5k
Volume
$81.75M
Markets traded
2,253
Open portfolio
$34.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,253
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.6930.455$17.2k$9.0k
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.7210.445$7.5k$4.7k
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs · FURIA0.8180.795$4.1k$120.74
Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 5.5 · Under0.7900.855$3.4k+$258.18
Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5 · Under0.7600.675$1.3k$168.25
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? · Anthropic0.8800.875$609.61$3.55
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6050.003$13.13$3.2k
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · No0.6210.003$5.54$1.4k
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner · Astralis0.7760.000$0.00$29.89
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner · Team Liquid0.6690.000$0.00$5.0k
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova · Elise Mertens0.7220.000$0.00$2.96
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner · BIG0.6670.000$0.00$11.3k
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner · Bilibili Gaming0.7650.000$0.00$3.8k
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic (BO1) · Heroic0.6870.000$0.00$1.1k
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner · B80.4110.000$0.00$1.3k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:24Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsBUY0.83$1.4k
09-17 19:24Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsBUY0.82$102.44
09-17 19:23Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsBUY0.81$1.95
09-17 19:23Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsBUY0.8$305.02
09-17 19:23Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsBUY0.8$652.64
09-17 19:23Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsBUY0.79$210.50
09-17 19:03Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 5.5BUY0.79$118.50
09-17 19:03Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 5.5BUY0.79$1.1k
09-17 19:02Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 5.5BUY0.79$1.1k
09-17 18:58Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerSELL0.99$3.0k
09-17 18:54Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.907$548.74
09-17 18:54Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.906$609.74
09-17 18:54Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.905$36.20
09-17 18:53Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.905$70.22
09-17 18:53Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.904$178.62