PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Supermanhel

0x565e5d57b895d2a36d4be02057305a621ad07a90

Realised P&L
$3.32
Volume
$115.40
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$17.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6680.485$11.67−$4.42
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5600.355$3.17−$1.83
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9160.971$1.06+$0.06
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 11? · Yes0.8200.790$0.96−$0.04
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.9200.455$0.49−$0.51
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 · Yes0.6900.121$0.18−$0.82
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8280.086$0.10−$0.90
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7200.065$0.09−$0.91
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 16? · Yes0.9000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.8400.000$0.00−$2.00
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.9000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 15? · Yes0.9530.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 18? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 4? · Yes0.9600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 25? · Yes0.7500.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 01:46Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 11?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
08-07 02:18Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.6799999611$2.10
07-19 15:03Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9199999816$2.00
07-13 16:46Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 20?BUY0.77$2.00
07-13 16:46Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.64$2.00
07-02 19:55Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.6899997205$2.00
07-02 19:55Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9299999814$2.00
06-28 10:11Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.5599999776$5.00
06-28 10:10Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.6799999728$5.00
06-21 02:18Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.84$2.00
06-21 02:18Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.64$2.00
06-14 03:46Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.6699999933$3.00
06-14 03:46Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.77$3.00
06-03 03:11Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
06-03 03:11Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1699998861$1.00