Treehugger
0x564bf7df57aea9256c84c69a781c1542c2a21eef
- Realised P&L
- $-142.08
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $14.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.71at 0.174Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$8.48at 0.195Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
- +$4.51at 0.530Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
- +$2.85at 0.260Will Brighton win on 2025-08-31?
- +$2.55at 0.440Nothing Ever Happens: February
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 17:48 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 17:47 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0219999787 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 17:46 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 17:45 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.401 | $2.05 |
| 07-18 17:45 | Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.0319543204 | $1.42 |
| 07-18 17:40 | Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 07-01 17:12 | Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1969998469 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 17:08 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1949998479 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 17:07 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0259999876 | $2.00 |
| 06-29 18:47 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.023999977 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 18:47 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0129999873 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 18:46 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0129999873 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 18:46 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.023999977 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 18:44 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 06-29 07:44 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0629999444 | $1.00 |