PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Treehugger

0x564bf7df57aea9256c84c69a781c1542c2a21eef

Realised P&L
$-142.08
Volume
$4.0k
Markets traded
109
Open portfolio
$14.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded109
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? · Yes0.1750.075$7.72$10.28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1480.038$3.89$11.11
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.245$2.23+$1.23
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0220.004$0.18$0.82
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1200.018$0.15$0.85
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $110k first? · 110k0.7000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$2.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$2.00
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00$1.00
Solana all time high before 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by May 31? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$5.00
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$4.00
Hyperswap FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 17:48Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
07-18 17:47Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0219999787$1.00
07-18 17:46Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
07-18 17:45Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.401$2.05
07-18 17:45Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?SELL0.0319543204$1.42
07-18 17:40Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.4$4.00
07-01 17:12Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1969998469$1.00
07-01 17:08Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1949998479$1.00
07-01 17:07Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0259999876$2.00
06-29 18:47Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.023999977$1.00
06-29 18:47Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0129999873$1.00
06-29 18:46Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0129999873$1.00
06-29 18:46Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.023999977$1.00
06-29 18:44Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
06-29 07:44Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0629999444$1.00