PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

geowatch

0x56456dff3a59eec8acf29806ef899ee923585d21

Realised P&L
$4.7k
Volume
$199.7k
Markets traded
276
Open portfolio
$19.5k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded276
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 18:13Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?BUY0.579999997$100.00
10-14 18:07US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.9098635201$2.0k
10-14 15:59US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.88$1000.00
10-13 23:59Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.9273107984$100.00
10-13 23:49US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.6199999996$820.00
10-13 23:48US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.3599999997$100.00
10-13 11:30US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8699999999$1.5k
10-13 11:28Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?BUY0.8431080968$500.00
10-13 11:27Anthropic IPO before 2027?SELL0.6683235029$861.15
10-11 00:03Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?BUY0.9889999999$100.00
10-11 00:00Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?BUY0.9756021881$1.3k
10-10 23:20Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?BUY0.631983666$250.00
10-10 23:19Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?SELL0.8953685432$1.7k
10-10 13:11US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.95$2.0k
10-10 13:09Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?BUY0.8308113915$500.00