reuven
0x559d0ae2ba744ad1d89c1041360deef9c9c8e8c4
- Realised P&L
- $-10.85
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 151
- Open portfolio
- $31.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded151
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.30at 0.511Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?
- +$5.26at 0.432Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
- +$4.54at 0.300Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?
- +$3.82at 0.630Houthi strike on Israel before August?
- +$3.69at 0.520Israel strikes Syria by Friday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 09:52 | Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 09:52 | Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.89999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 07:56 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 21:29 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 21:28 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 19:31 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 18:44 | Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.0429999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 18:43 | Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 18:43 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.9199998773 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 18:43 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 08-09 18:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.8599995356 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 18:50 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.481 | $0.67 |
| 08-09 18:50 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $1.99 |
| 07-09 04:36 | Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 12:04 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8369999548 | $1.00 |