ueberman
0x559a5074f19c81ddf48e0eb18c8cf72625622107
- Realised P&L
- $0.79
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $194.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-37 House seat? · Yes | 0.981 | 0.973 | $54.46 | −$0.48 |
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? · No | 0.960 | 0.931 | $53.07 | −$1.65 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? · No | 0.975 | 0.744 | $41.66 | −$12.94 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MA-04 House seat? · No | 0.992 | 0.995 | $24.88 | +$0.07 |
| Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.969 | 0.941 | $20.81 | −$0.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.14at 0.944Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?
- +$1.82at 0.923Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?
- +$1.73at 0.966Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?
- +$1.07at 0.955Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$0.92at 0.982Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-14 08:57 | Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9229999684 | $21.82 |