depeer
0x5567486d87d8fd69c875eb36208386128516aeed
- Realised P&L
- $12.2k
- Volume
- $1.89M
- Markets traded
- 1,411
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,411
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$592.65at 0.712Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?
- +$439.04at 0.790Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?
- +$365.64at 0.205Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?
- +$333.42at 0.884Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?
- +$277.31at 0.865Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil by November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-09 01:15 | Will the Utah Jazz win more than 18.5 regular season games in 2025–26? | BUY | 0.971 | $117.94 |
| 02-01 00:01 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.996 | $112.67 |
| 02-01 00:01 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $270.00 |
| 11-29 09:24 | Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.9628993657 | $248.97 |
| 11-29 09:18 | Will Ethena dip to $0.20 in November? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.18 |
| 11-29 09:09 | Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds in 2025? | SELL | 0.09 | $8.58 |
| 11-29 09:08 | Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025? | SELL | 0.06 | $11.53 |
| 11-29 09:08 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% in 2025? | SELL | 0.11 | $11.79 |
| 11-29 09:08 | Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31? | SELL | 0.078022608 | $14.43 |
| 11-29 09:08 | Will None in 2025 occur? | SELL | 0.1102641926 | $15.99 |
| 11-29 09:07 | Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season? | SELL | 0.0731683237 | $10.60 |
| 11-29 09:07 | Will Gainzy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $10.64 |
| 11-29 09:07 | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1759531773 | $17.89 |
| 11-29 09:06 | Will Sunderland be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | SELL | 0.070452 | $14.09 |
| 11-29 09:05 | Will BBB be part of the next Government of the Netherlands? | SELL | 0.0536667889 | $16.10 |