0x8cA2DdbF48871a7f86b49202EE73fab4cc7B1266-1761664579385
0x554db06a1ee86fd9d0e184a11468d40a49eec64b
- Realised P&L
- $-0.38
- Volume
- $176.00
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $27.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.145 | $14.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.295 | $11.80 | −$2.20 |
| Will four or more people dissent the September Fed decision? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.100 | $1.60 | +$0.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.96at 0.422Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 21:32 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 21:19 | Will four or more people dissent the September Fed decision? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.28 |
| 08-30 16:19 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-30? | SELL | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 08-30 16:05 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.41 | $4.10 |