PolyBot

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Traders

0x8cA2DdbF48871a7f86b49202EE73fab4cc7B1266-1761664579385

0x554db06a1ee86fd9d0e184a11468d40a49eec64b

Realised P&L
$77.96
Volume
$4.6k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$171.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 13:03Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.119$3.57
10-29 12:23Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?BUY0.3$6.00
10-08 19:45Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.42$4.20
10-08 19:45Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.42$20.58
10-06 12:11Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.153$15.30
10-06 12:05Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.498$24.90
10-06 12:02Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.497$4.97
10-06 12:02Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.497$4.97
10-06 12:01Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.497$4.97
10-06 12:01Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.497$4.97
10-06 12:01Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.498$24.90
10-06 11:59Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.18$3.60
10-06 11:57Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.179$5.37
10-05 14:40Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.36$5.40
10-04 20:21Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?SELL0.36$10.80