PolyBot

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Traders

trotzstirn

0x55278fc5da1bfcefba2b08ce477079b3c9394e68

Realised P&L
$-938.24
Volume
$27.4k
Markets traded
214
Open portfolio
$247.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded214
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.2830.715$65.30+$39.47
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? · No0.4900.500$43.50+$0.87
Negative GDP growth in 2026? · No0.8470.980$37.70+$5.10
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? · No0.2060.950$35.15+$27.51
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.2500.080$16.35$34.72
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? · No0.8000.955$9.55+$1.55
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot? · Yes0.4601.000$6.78+$3.66
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? · Yes0.1300.055$5.88$8.03
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5130.063$5.83$41.63
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1700.065$5.66$9.13
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.7800.972$4.86+$0.96
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · No0.8600.951$3.13+$0.30
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.3600.585$1.75+$0.68
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3600.585$1.75+$0.68
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.6350.040$1.48$22.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-08 03:52Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.34$1.70
01-05 18:54Will ACA premium tax credits be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?SELL0.997$69.79
01-05 16:40Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?SELL0.24$582.10
01-05 16:38Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?SELL0.2534545871$663.73
01-05 15:13Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?BUY0.76$25.84
01-05 10:41Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?BUY0.4$6.76
01-04 21:45Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?BUY0.29$4.93
01-04 21:43Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.2$3.40
01-04 21:41Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.2$3.40
01-04 21:24Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.25$4.25
01-04 21:22Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.25$4.25
01-04 21:21Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.21$3.57
01-04 21:20Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.25$4.25
01-04 21:20Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.24$2.98
01-04 18:00Will Wesley Hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY0.81646$40.82