ZeroSigma
0x551a79d6101081d721262a2605187674fc1686b9
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $352.6k
- Markets traded
- 383
- Open portfolio
- $7.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded383
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$718.99at 0.993MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$408.32at 0.176MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?
- +$404.85at 0.140Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
- +$355.55at 0.868Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
- +$284.68at 0.596Ethereum flipped in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 12:37 | Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $0.31 |
| 09-04 17:00 | Over $30M committed to the Ethos public sale? | BUY | 0.998301188 | $100.00 |
| 09-04 17:00 | Over $15M committed to the Ethos public sale? | BUY | 0.996878377 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 16:25 | Over $7.5M committed to the Ethos public sale? | BUY | 0.939060939 | $100.00 |
| 09-04 14:49 | Over $10M committed to the Ethos public sale? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.26 |
| 08-24 22:29 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.174 | $21.03 |
| 08-24 18:04 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999901 | $13.00 |
| 08-24 17:30 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999982 | $40.00 |
| 08-20 23:34 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0558372123 | $17.06 |
| 08-20 23:31 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7968406313 | $200.00 |
| 08-19 14:28 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.1633663367 | $25.00 |
| 08-19 00:14 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.162 | $24.30 |
| 08-14 23:03 | Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-14 18:39 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.10T on August 31? | SELL | 0.0817936508 | $10.31 |
| 08-14 18:01 | Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30? | BUY | 0.992 | $7.00 |