0x54639E7adB02f07Ec5B13968979806665962446c-1779590901381
0x54639e7adb02f07ec5b13968979806665962446c
- Realised P&L
- $15.59
- Volume
- $896.95
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $137.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.29at 0.413Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
- +$6.74at 0.602Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$4.79at 0.300Will Rogerio Carvalho win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?
- +$3.62at 0.580Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$3.54at 0.590Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 16:21 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 14:08 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:28 | Will Lukáš Hájek be the next Mayor of Liberec? | BUY | 0.85 | $2.00 |
| 10-11 14:24 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 15:58 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $3.00 |
| 10-09 15:58 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 13:52 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7275690463 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 13:47 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4449998042 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 15:54 | Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 15:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 15:50 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.71 |
| 10-04 15:49 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.38 | $1.17 |
| 10-04 15:49 | Will Helio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 10-04 15:48 | Will Teresa Surita win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 15:47 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6209999839 | $2.00 |