po-ly28-test-user6
0x53f8cf9ce9385e4a483780cabfbd4fbab64a5ce0
- Realised P&L
- $113.01
- Volume
- $27.8k
- Markets traded
- 609
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded609
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.00at 0.470Warriors vs. Pelicans
- +$50.82at 0.500Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-14?
- +$48.71at 0.041Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
- +$44.03at 0.475Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
- +$38.66at 0.051Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 02:49 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 23:33 | Will Trump deport 300-400k people? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.33 |
| 09-22 20:09 | Will OL Lyonnes win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.0381903266 | $1.99 |
| 09-22 19:23 | Will XRP reach $1.60 in September? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 09-22 19:19 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 19:04 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | SELL | 0.3789686099 | $8.45 |
| 09-22 18:53 | Will XRP reach $1.60 in September? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 16:36 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.4204015494 | $6.51 |
| 09-22 14:19 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | SELL | 0.016 | $0.32 |
| 09-22 14:19 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.60 |
| 09-22 14:19 | Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.49 |
| 09-22 14:19 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.82 |
| 09-22 14:18 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 09-22 14:18 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.038 | $1.17 |
| 09-22 14:18 | Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.14 |