PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

po-ly28-test-user6

0x53f8cf9ce9385e4a483780cabfbd4fbab64a5ce0

Realised P&L
$247.72
Volume
$14.9k
Markets traded
287
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded287
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.7000.655$95.60$6.57
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.7100.685$75.82$2.77
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.5800.996$46.57+$19.44
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? · Yes0.6100.645$39.01+$2.12
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · No0.7900.795$36.84+$0.23
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · No0.8000.790$35.76$0.45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No0.7200.765$34.02+$2.00
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · No0.6940.989$26.31+$7.85
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? · No0.6800.595$24.29$3.47
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No0.8100.845$20.99+$0.87
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.7600.775$17.58+$0.34
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.8570.885$15.65+$0.50
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7510.745$15.53$0.12
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · No0.6400.976$15.36+$5.28
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · No0.5400.775$14.48+$4.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 09:52Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?SELL0.4$21.06
08-03 08:52Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.04$2.00
08-03 04:31Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?BUY0.2528812994$2.00
08-03 01:22Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.0539999731$2.00
08-03 01:13Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.0779999654$1.99
08-02 23:00Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 3, 2026?BUY0.08$2.00
08-02 17:04Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.1800904977$1.99
08-02 08:05Will Victor Wembanyama be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?BUY0.0699999683$1.99
08-02 03:43Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?BUY0.0899999599$2.00
08-02 03:34Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?BUY0.0759999662$1.99
08-02 02:18US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1244826773$1.99
08-01 23:53Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?BUY0.1$1.99
08-01 23:27Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m?BUY0.1559999442$2.00
08-01 19:17Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?BUY0.1007154375$2.00
08-01 19:17Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.0479999774$1.99
Trader po-ly28-test-user6 · PolyBot