po-ly28-test-user6
0x53f8cf9ce9385e4a483780cabfbd4fbab64a5ce0
- Realised P&L
- $247.72
- Volume
- $14.9k
- Markets traded
- 287
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded287
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.00at 0.470Warriors vs. Pelicans
- +$50.82at 0.500Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-14?
- +$44.03at 0.475Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
- +$38.76at 0.049Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?
- +$34.53at 0.552Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 09:52 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? | SELL | 0.4 | $21.06 |
| 08-03 08:52 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 04:31 | Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? | BUY | 0.2528812994 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 01:22 | Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0539999731 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 01:13 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0779999654 | $1.99 |
| 08-02 23:00 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 17:04 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.1800904977 | $1.99 |
| 08-02 08:05 | Will Victor Wembanyama be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | BUY | 0.0699999683 | $1.99 |
| 08-02 03:43 | Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | BUY | 0.0899999599 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 03:34 | Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0759999662 | $1.99 |
| 08-02 02:18 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1244826773 | $1.99 |
| 08-01 23:53 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.99 |
| 08-01 23:27 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m? | BUY | 0.1559999442 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 19:17 | Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | BUY | 0.1007154375 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 19:17 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.0479999774 | $1.99 |