oajd
0x53f8526451613bbc44a7060a4f1b4417d9b1f6cc
- Realised P&L
- $-11.59
- Volume
- $52.1k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $37.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.44at 0.581Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$0.82at 0.710Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 19?
- +$0.81at 0.016Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$0.81at 0.712Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$0.80at 0.840Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 10:07 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 10:07 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 10:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 10:06 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9493354641 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 10:05 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 10:04 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.21 |
| 08-29 08:02 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.00 |
| 08-29 08:01 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.9809999982 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 08:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.8899994126 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 08:00 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 08:00 | Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 08-29 08:00 | Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $3.00 |
| 08-29 08:00 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8699992344 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 07:59 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.8419999242 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 07:58 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |