PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dontask2026

0x53ef61e2c8a7b613f5ae1c91e83fe29ea114a70a

Realised P&L
$-17.85
Volume
$4.2k
Markets traded
144
Open portfolio
$108.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded144
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 20:34Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 5-11?BUY0.04$1.00
10-06 20:33Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 5-11?BUY0.992$1.00
10-06 20:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.2199999974$5.00
10-06 20:29Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.9169999982$1.00
10-06 20:28Netanyahu drops out before election?BUY0.9859999834$10.00
10-06 20:27Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.999$5.00
10-06 20:26Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.9959998653$5.00
06-08 15:01Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5928853748$10.00
06-07 19:48Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
06-07 19:46Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1679998871$1.00
05-18 20:53Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?BUY0.0289999724$1.00
04-18 19:25Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.6369998267$1.00
04-16 23:17Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.6279999879$5.00
04-13 09:40Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.8299992198$1.00
04-11 18:38Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?BUY0.95$1.00