PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x53d51bfa997b02e146d3e5ceb7802bd42ff9fb93

0x53d51bfa997b02e146d3e5ceb7802bd42ff9fb93

Realised P&L
$-7.00
Volume
$195.67
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$1.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · No0.7200.730$1.01+$0.01
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No0.7300.377$0.52−$0.48
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5100.055$0.21−$1.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 23:48Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-01 15:57Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
10-01 07:55Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-27 09:33Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
09-27 01:07Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?BUY0.5899997404$1.00
09-23 12:07Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?BUY0.709999947$1.74
08-21 20:48Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?BUY0.5499999725$2.00
08-19 06:58Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?BUY0.4$2.00
08-13 17:20US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.76$2.00
08-13 09:19Will Trump say "Hottest" during remarks in New York?BUY0.229999916$2.00
08-13 01:16S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 13?BUY0.5$2.00
08-12 05:15Will Trump say "Crazy" during remarks in New York?BUY0.299999925$2.00
08-11 21:13Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?BUY0.34999993$2.00
08-11 13:04Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?BUY0.4699999406$1.74
08-11 05:03Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?BUY0.25$2.00
Trader 0x53d51bfa997b02e146d3e5ceb7802bd42ff9fb93 · PolyBot Pro