0x53c6671c6bbe9142aa7d7ded19dad5ab190e69a0
0x53c6671c6bbe9142aa7d7ded19dad5ab190e69a0
- Realised P&L
- $-0.29
- Volume
- $526.86
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $23.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.450 | $5.23 | +$0.23 |
| Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.011 | $4.77 | −$0.23 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.305 | $4.77 | −$0.23 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.695 | $4.46 | −$0.54 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.350 | $3.80 | −$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.72at 0.583Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 199.5
- +$-1.00at 0.372S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 29?
- +$-20.89at 0.894Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 06:42 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 29? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 04:50 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999979 | $20.79 |
| 10-29 04:47 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 04:45 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 04:42 | Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.011 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 04:37 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 04:36 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999282 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 04:27 | Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 199.5 | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |