0x53227e255a5577d50eeb3672a2225d40d05c95e1
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 147
- Open portfolio
- $723.88
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded147
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · No | 0.711 | 0.938 | $330.18 | +$80.08 |
| Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? · No | 0.650 | 1.000 | $288.00 | +$100.80 |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.485 | $56.26 | +$0.58 |
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 6.8M in September? · No | 0.930 | 0.961 | $38.42 | +$1.22 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.190 | $5.70 | −$9.30 |
| Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.080 | $4.80 | −$4.80 |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.505 | $0.51 | +$0.28 |
| New pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.019 | $0.02 | −$0.11 |
| Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$546.68at 0.410Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
- +$492.80at 0.130Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
- +$276.54at 0.670Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-02-15?
- +$272.18at 0.130Will Starmer say "Urgent" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- +$263.04at 0.680Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 16:03 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 6.8M in September? | BUY | 0.93 | $37.20 |
| 06-16 05:35 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.50 |
| 04-24 04:37 | Nothing Ever Happens: March | BUY | 0.43 | $465.26 |
| 04-21 04:28 | Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | SELL | 0.842 | $169.24 |
| 04-07 21:56 | Will Milena Moreira be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26? | BUY | 0.89 | $584.73 |
| 04-07 19:51 | Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-02-15? | BUY | 0.67 | $561.46 |
| 03-31 07:46 | Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $371.96 |
| 03-31 07:44 | Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 03-29 23:51 | Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $351.54 |
| 03-25 17:33 | Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | SELL | 0.83 | $173.47 |
| 03-23 20:09 | Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | BUY | 0.72 | $150.48 |
| 03-18 12:59 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | SELL | 0.71 | $594.98 |
| 03-16 18:04 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | BUY | 0.6796013216 | $617.08 |
| 03-11 04:11 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? | SELL | 0.74 | $286.38 |
| 03-11 04:09 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? | SELL | 0.74 | $301.18 |