PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x52c457Bc2900C1360B6855BD965C617eB56826aC-1768429747411

0x52c457bc2900c1360b6855bd965c617eb56826ac

Realised P&L
$10.18
Volume
$484.60
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$28.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 18:30Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1628742484$2.00
09-09 18:18Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$1.00
09-09 18:17US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5760861124$5.00
09-09 18:15Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4799999846$5.00
09-08 22:21Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?BUY0.0479999985$1.00
09-08 21:51Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3599999712$3.00
09-08 21:43Meta (META) Up or Down on September 9?BUY0.549999945$1.00
09-08 21:33NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7899999905$10.00
09-08 21:30Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?BUY0.0439975428$1.00
09-08 21:25Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1809523741$3.00
01-19 21:55S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?BUY0.7699999877$5.00
01-19 21:54Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL0.5$6.86
01-19 21:54Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?SELL0.48$9.79
01-19 19:52Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999716$7.00
01-19 18:52Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.4899999814$10.00