0x52abAf9AAdceC4421a2fD9e3d63Eb51C68A64186-1773348547273
0x52abaf9aadcec4421a2fd9e3d63eb51c68a64186
- Realised P&L
- $-58.42
- Volume
- $14.0k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $22.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.60at 0.485Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
- +$27.46at 0.329Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds
- +$19.99at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
- +$19.70at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
- +$17.83at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 02:54 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0609999879 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 02:53 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0219999956 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 02:52 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.88 | $19.99 |
| 06-15 02:51 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.008 | $1.71 |
| 06-11 02:12 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be at least 7.00%? | BUY | 0.076 | $0.51 |
| 06-08 20:37 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 06-08 20:36 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.025 | $2.27 |
| 06-08 20:36 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.053 | $2.94 |
| 06-05 19:53 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.096999979 | $4.00 |
| 06-05 19:52 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.50 |
| 06-05 19:52 | Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.005 | $2.50 |
| 05-31 11:55 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6599999622 | $15.00 |
| 05-24 03:11 | Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.01 | $2.73 |
| 05-24 03:11 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.017 | $3.19 |
| 05-24 03:10 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.089 | $3.10 |