PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x528e655c40ef4f36070933315f92b76862b4c1e7

0x528e655c40ef4f36070933315f92b76862b4c1e7

Realised P&L
$-19.40
Volume
$713.04
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$128.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8450.964$33.90+$4.19
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.6700.935$20.73+$5.88
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6700.855$18.96+$4.10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8500.968$16.91+$2.05
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4200.365$12.91−$1.94
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.7800.925$7.49+$1.17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.8000.999$6.07+$1.21
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? · Yes0.2400.215$2.69−$0.31
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.4000.635$2.06+$0.76
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.3700.595$1.78+$0.68
CD Eldense vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5 · Under0.6100.615$1.39+$0.01
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · No0.4100.415$1.25+$0.01
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · No0.5600.395$0.99−$0.42
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1800.135$0.81−$0.27
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2200.025$0.15−$1.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 05:43CD Eldense vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5BUY0.6099998497$1.38
09-30 03:05Will CA Penarol Montevideo win on 2026-09-30?BUY0.6099998497$1.38
09-30 00:20Rhode Island FC vs. Indy Eleven: O/U 3.5BUY0.6599998661$1.38
09-29 22:23Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?BUY0.5599999351$1.38
09-28 05:01Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.67$1.38
09-28 04:38San Marino vs. Albania: O/U 3.5BUY0.5299999155$1.38
09-27 18:06Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.5599999351$1.38
09-26 13:39Birmingham City WFC vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 3.5BUY0.6799999212$1.38
09-26 11:36Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.67$1.38
09-26 05:21Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.6499999764$1.38
09-26 04:32Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.69$1.38
09-26 04:32Will CF Montréal win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.64$1.38
09-26 04:32Will Deportes Copiapo win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.6499999764$1.38
09-16 05:09Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?BUY0.7799996858$1.39
09-09 23:43Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?BUY0.4699999568$1.74