0x525E4F0520927D26b90e8cF922B626f655C3c78d-1776017911545
0x525e4f0520927d26b90e8cf922b626f655c3c78d
- Realised P&L
- $-888.12
- Volume
- $63.3k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$173.33at 0.570 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$81.66at 0.785Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$43.44at 0.873Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$24.58at 0.888Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$15.63at 0.320US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 13:44 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2999999992 | $188.00 |
| 08-07 13:42 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.222149167 | $100.00 |
| 08-07 13:42 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2999999993 | $250.00 |
| 07-13 13:39 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2379999971 | $50.00 |
| 07-13 13:35 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.174 | $36.86 |
| 07-13 13:35 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.208 | $45.22 |
| 07-04 16:57 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.066 | $12.79 |
| 07-04 16:56 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8039999902 | $50.00 |
| 07-03 21:43 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.6189999973 | $50.00 |
| 07-03 21:43 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.1491053654 | $50.00 |
| 07-03 10:18 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.343999996 | $50.00 |
| 07-01 13:27 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5949999998 | $125.00 |
| 07-01 13:26 | Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.005 | $50.00 |
| 07-01 13:26 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.12 | $150.00 |
| 06-20 21:33 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | SELL | 0.86 | $100.62 |