PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x525E4F0520927D26b90e8cF922B626f655C3c78d-1776017911545

0x525e4f0520927d26b90e8cf922b626f655c3c78d

Realised P&L
$-888.12
Volume
$63.3k
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.3260.180$632.80$511.54
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.3680.215$547.60$390.40
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.7510.848$395.18+$45.18
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6020.484$140.78$34.22
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.1260.085$134.75$65.25
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2380.556$116.91+$66.91
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0690.021$58.31$136.69
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1420.097$27.17$12.83
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0050.001$5.00$45.00
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2400.065$1.90$5.10
Will Trump say "Winston" or "Churchill" during King Charles visit? · No0.3500.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET · Down0.1620.000$0.00$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET · Down0.4100.000$0.00$5.00
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$25.00
Will Trump announce no pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1460.000$0.00$94.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 13:44Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.2999999992$188.00
08-07 13:42Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.222149167$100.00
08-07 13:42Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.2999999993$250.00
07-13 13:39Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2379999971$50.00
07-13 13:35Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.174$36.86
07-13 13:35Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.208$45.22
07-04 16:57Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.066$12.79
07-04 16:56Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.8039999902$50.00
07-03 21:43Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.6189999973$50.00
07-03 21:43Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.1491053654$50.00
07-03 10:18Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.343999996$50.00
07-01 13:27Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5949999998$125.00
07-01 13:26Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.005$50.00
07-01 13:26Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.12$150.00
06-20 21:33Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?SELL0.86$100.62