0x522658d3A48a309Ee9421BF4CC9d6173B6B4B4F5-1721256634257
0x522658d3a48a309ee9421bf4cc9d6173b6b4b4f5
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $890.6k
- Markets traded
- 261
- Open portfolio
- $151.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded261
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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- +$153.08at 0.986Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
- +$116.91at 0.924Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 14:58 | U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.12 |
| 09-15 14:49 | Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.047 | $1.87 |
| 09-09 18:15 | EU dissolves before 2027? | SELL | 0.0051912986 | $0.95 |
| 09-05 15:40 | Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.42 |
| 08-30 01:33 | Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.049 | $2.50 |
| 08-28 15:24 | Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.69 |
| 08-27 05:08 | Will Zendaya and Robert Pattinson star in another film together announced in 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 08-27 04:51 | Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.042 | $2.14 |
| 08-26 10:21 | Will Spotify reach 1 billion total users in 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.26 |
| 08-21 16:23 | Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.30 |
| 08-21 16:22 | Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.021 | $2.31 |
| 08-21 16:22 | Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.66 |
| 08-21 16:19 | Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.47 |
| 08-20 17:53 | Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 08-16 09:23 | Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? | SELL | 0.1 | $4.20 |