OctoGeo
0x5222b6bbda3f9af311bd183afd5791a7ca2e7437
- Realised P&L
- $-28.68
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Markets traded
- 519
- Open portfolio
- $41.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded519
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.55at 0.141Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.99at 0.427Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
- +$6.93at 0.131Will Spartans FC win on 2026-07-25?
- +$6.67at 0.133Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
- +$5.64at 0.154Timberwolves vs. Spurs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 05:26 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 07:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 20:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 20:10 | Will France vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 20:10 | Will USA win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 20:10 | Will Italy vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1328273144 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 20:07 | Will Millwall FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 20:06 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 20:06 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 20:05 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 20:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 16:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 15:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 14:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |