PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x5219156844fF1cE290dC7F24d687C5386b759781-1780766504920

0x5219156844ff1ce290dc7f24d687c5386b759781

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$53.3k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
USMCA extended in 2026? · Yes0.3250.255$548.84$151.15
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? · No0.9100.959$157.99+$7.99
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9420.933$148.64$1.36
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7900.745$141.46$8.54
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.4030.254$125.83$74.17
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3370.535$111.23+$41.23
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? · Yes0.4430.425$95.98$4.02
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.2020.191$94.21$5.79
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.5000.465$92.97$7.03
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1400.095$67.86$32.14
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes0.4380.350$55.92$14.08
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.3760.285$53.11$16.89
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? · Yes0.0500.052$42.00+$2.00
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? · Yes0.1280.070$38.43$31.57
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? · No0.2350.120$35.77$34.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 18:27USMCA extended in 2026?BUY0.2252252252$100.00
08-02 18:26Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.2348477733$70.00
08-02 17:46Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.4381554058$70.00
08-02 17:45Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?BUY0.05$40.00
07-28 14:30USMCA extended in 2026?BUY0.3611891927$300.00
07-26 16:47Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?BUY0.909999998$150.00
07-26 16:43Will no listed leader be out before 2027?BUY0.442785692$100.00
07-26 05:09US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?BUY0.7899999989$70.00
07-26 05:04Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.0623723235$70.00
07-26 04:53Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?BUY0.1275174165$70.00
07-25 19:03Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.0290000001$10.00
07-25 18:06Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.8599999997$100.00
07-25 18:02Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.3053473764$70.00
07-25 02:53Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.4355732518$70.00
07-25 02:48Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.7$100.00