0x5219156844fF1cE290dC7F24d687C5386b759781-1780766504920
0x5219156844ff1ce290dc7f24d687c5386b759781
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $77.7k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$434.44at 0.512Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?
- +$419.03at 0.547Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$279.84at 0.844Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$233.80at 0.187US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
- +$154.85at 0.286Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 02:41 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.6099999984 | $150.00 |
| 09-13 02:41 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1199999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-11 03:10 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 05:45 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | SELL | 0.62 | $344.44 |
| 09-09 05:27 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.84 | $308.42 |
| 09-09 04:12 | Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.09 | $300.00 |
| 09-09 04:11 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | BUY | 0.1799999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-07 21:04 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $70.00 |
| 09-07 20:52 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.7899999999 | $200.00 |
| 09-06 23:02 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.4299999985 | $100.00 |
| 09-06 14:39 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 09-06 14:37 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.5299999986 | $50.00 |
| 09-06 14:34 | Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.562045605 | $50.00 |
| 09-06 14:28 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.76 | $178.82 |
| 09-06 14:25 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.2291372336 | $113.74 |