0x5219156844fF1cE290dC7F24d687C5386b759781-1780766504920
0x5219156844ff1ce290dc7f24d687c5386b759781
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $53.3k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$441.12at 0.505Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?
- +$425.93at 0.540Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$290.92at 0.838Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$173.78at 0.280Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$136.91at 0.582Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:27 | USMCA extended in 2026? | BUY | 0.2252252252 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 18:26 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.2348477733 | $70.00 |
| 08-02 17:46 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.4381554058 | $70.00 |
| 08-02 17:45 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $40.00 |
| 07-28 14:30 | USMCA extended in 2026? | BUY | 0.3611891927 | $300.00 |
| 07-26 16:47 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | BUY | 0.909999998 | $150.00 |
| 07-26 16:43 | Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | BUY | 0.442785692 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 05:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999989 | $70.00 |
| 07-26 05:04 | Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.0623723235 | $70.00 |
| 07-26 04:53 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? | BUY | 0.1275174165 | $70.00 |
| 07-25 19:03 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0290000001 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 18:06 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 07-25 18:02 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.3053473764 | $70.00 |
| 07-25 02:53 | Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.4355732518 | $70.00 |
| 07-25 02:48 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.7 | $100.00 |