PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x51942cbCfB49e33281de0Ce584FCFf8da7f71dcA-1773699107966

0x51942cbcfb49e33281de0ce584fcff8da7f71dca

Realised P&L
$-483.69
Volume
$71.7k
Markets traded
313
Open portfolio
$39.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded313
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? · No0.7361.000$27.18+$7.18
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on March 23? · No0.5601.000$4.63+$2.04
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes0.0850.018$2.03−$7.82
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · No0.6321.000$1.60+$0.59
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.7000.895$1.53+$0.33
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.3100.018$1.13−$18.87
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.6260.512$0.82−$0.18
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0940.069$0.16−$0.06
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0760.023$0.06−$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on April 8? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$1.09
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 13? · Yes0.2030.000$0.00−$0.49
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on April 3? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00−$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 24? · Yes0.5450.000$0.00−$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 25? · Yes0.1280.000$0.00−$0.39
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 6? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$0.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-24 04:17Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?SELL0.39$0.04
04-24 04:13Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?SELL0.38$0.06
04-24 01:53Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?SELL0.38$0.04
04-22 01:59Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL0.85$0.09
04-21 15:29Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL0.062$0.01
04-21 15:28Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL0.062$0.01
04-21 15:24Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL0.062$0.01
04-21 15:23Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL0.063$0.01
04-21 15:09Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL0.062$0.01
04-21 15:08Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL0.062$0.01
04-21 12:53Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL0.061$0.01
04-20 21:33Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.001$0.02
04-20 20:36Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.001$0.02
04-20 20:33Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.001$0.02
04-20 20:31Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.001$0.02