AllByMyseIf
0x5188fa0e8a77e87bc6a58e6781fdfc4e165cc804
- Realised P&L
- $551.8k
- Volume
- $51.14M
- Markets traded
- 1,357
- Open portfolio
- $136.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,357
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.5kat 0.335US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$54.7kat 0.003Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$48.2kat 0.686US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$32.2kat 0.355Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
- +$27.5kat 0.900US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 07:16 | Will Bitget resume withdrawals by September 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.0319322739 | $84.40 |
| 09-26 07:11 | Will "Patient Zero" hit 100m first week streams? | BUY | 0.024 | $2.40 |
| 09-26 07:10 | Will "Patient Zero" hit 70m first week streams? | BUY | 0.7182851638 | $335.51 |
| 09-26 07:10 | Will "Patient Zero" hit 60m first week streams? | BUY | 0.55 | $148.50 |
| 09-26 07:08 | Will "Patient Zero" hit 90m first week streams? | BUY | 0.0706187976 | $51.38 |
| 09-26 07:08 | Will "Patient Zero" hit 100m first week streams? | BUY | 0.0172688974 | $9.40 |
| 09-26 07:04 | Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on December 31? | BUY | 0.5806033432 | $1.3k |
| 09-26 01:32 | Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0312382609 | $28.65 |
| 09-26 01:24 | Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3751940293 | $562.03 |
| 09-25 07:50 | Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3346558912 | $730.47 |
| 09-25 07:50 | Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.4178382187 | $1.7k |
| 09-25 07:48 | Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $67.40 |
| 09-24 06:16 | Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5938221832 | $378.83 |
| 09-24 06:13 | Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.4958699934 | $536.20 |
| 09-24 02:55 | Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.359478367 | $2.5k |