ProsperIntelligence
0x514bed69dd15b0aa7183f985bdce50681a026931
- Realised P&L
- $-4.6k
- Volume
- $465.8k
- Markets traded
- 241
- Open portfolio
- $321.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded241
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.303 | 0.457 | $226.26 | +$75.82 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? · Yes | 0.116 | 0.085 | $47.31 | −$17.18 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.050 | $22.57 | −$1.14 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.335 | 0.132 | $19.66 | −$30.19 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.071 | $5.36 | −$0.11 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.176 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.82 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.124 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$167.16 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.85 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.119Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.662Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
- +$903.43at 0.166Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
- +$885.28at 0.914Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
- +$808.14at 0.842Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 19:24 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.073 | $1.82 |
| 10-15 19:22 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.073 | $3.65 |
| 10-15 17:28 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.052 | $3.62 |
| 10-15 17:26 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.052 | $6.96 |
| 10-15 17:20 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.052 | $13.13 |
| 10-15 16:46 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.30 |
| 10-15 16:38 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.64 |
| 10-15 16:36 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $9.83 |
| 10-15 16:34 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $19.42 |
| 10-15 16:32 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $5.78 |
| 10-15 16:30 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $5.33 |
| 10-15 16:28 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $5.06 |
| 10-15 16:26 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $9.12 |
| 10-15 08:12 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.339 | $4.60 |
| 10-15 08:10 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.348 | $17.40 |