mathrex
0x50b0de750ec7f757250d483ebb86e1e9e61e1640
- Realised P&L
- $-15.9k
- Volume
- $180.6k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $17.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$353.10at 0.860US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
- +$219.61at 0.891Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
- +$154.55at 0.240US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$152.38at 0.755Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
- +$137.95at 0.879Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 17:06 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.7175011301 | $1000.00 |
| 09-25 17:00 | ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31? | BUY | 0.7414730596 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 15:50 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.6899999963 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 10:49 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.628966914 | $500.00 |
| 09-24 17:34 | ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31? | BUY | 0.7033184732 | $100.00 |
| 09-23 21:04 | ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 09-23 18:30 | ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31? | BUY | 0.7059016 | $50.00 |
| 09-23 18:22 | ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 17:24 | ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31? | BUY | 0.6880363696 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 12:22 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.992900009 | $551.61 |
| 09-21 12:21 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $219.51 |
| 09-18 16:09 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $800.00 |
| 09-14 20:17 | ChatGPT Full Outage by September 30? | BUY | 0.8859034266 | $500.00 |
| 09-13 09:24 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | BUY | 0.9179529649 | $1000.00 |
| 09-13 07:39 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | BUY | 0.9158694288 | $1000.00 |