PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

mathrex

0x50b0de750ec7f757250d483ebb86e1e9e61e1640

Realised P&L
$-15.9k
Volume
$180.6k
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$17.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? · No0.8350.988$4.7k+$728.15
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.9180.992$2.2k+$158.99
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? · No0.9170.925$2.0k+$17.65
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No0.6860.765$1.8k+$185.21
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? · No0.7110.989$1.6k+$451.09
ChatGPT Full Outage by September 30? · No0.7810.927$1.6k+$245.26
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.705$1.4k−$153.85
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8490.835$836.14−$13.86
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? · No0.3210.865$605.51+$380.52
ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31? · No0.7000.790$519.35+$59.35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · No0.6930.000$0.00−$1000.00
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.9500.000$0.00−$2.0k
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? · No0.9330.000$0.00−$3.3k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · No0.9100.000$0.00−$3.0k
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · No0.1570.000$0.00−$1.7k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 17:06Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.7175011301$1000.00
09-25 17:00ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31?BUY0.7414730596$100.00
09-25 15:50Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.6899999963$100.00
09-25 10:49Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.628966914$500.00
09-24 17:34ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31?BUY0.7033184732$100.00
09-23 21:04ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31?BUY0.6699999993$100.00
09-23 18:30ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31?BUY0.7059016$50.00
09-23 18:22ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31?BUY0.6699999839$10.00
09-23 17:24ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31?BUY0.6880363696$100.00
09-21 12:22US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?SELL0.992900009$551.61
09-21 12:21US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.9$219.51
09-18 16:09New pandemic in 2026?SELL0.94$800.00
09-14 20:17ChatGPT Full Outage by September 30?BUY0.8859034266$500.00
09-13 09:24Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?BUY0.9179529649$1000.00
09-13 07:39Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?BUY0.9158694288$1000.00