tsnycpm1
0x50656730c32b257f9f73442c04b79a3d3655f4f7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $73.2k
- Markets traded
- 384
- Open portfolio
- $5.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded384
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.81at 0.836Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$54.08at 0.830Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
- +$46.60at 0.874Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
- +$46.43at 0.875Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?
- +$46.23at 0.850Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 07:39 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.91 | $113.75 |
| 10-05 05:32 | Will the Republican Party win the NJ-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.91 | $113.75 |
| 10-05 05:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.942 | $113.04 |
| 10-05 04:21 | Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $113.75 |
| 10-05 03:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.92 | $113.16 |
| 10-04 16:59 | Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.91 | $111.93 |
| 10-04 02:39 | Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31? | SELL | 0.982 | $58.92 |
| 10-03 19:32 | Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $112.24 |
| 10-03 17:21 | Will the Democratic Party win the PA-14 House seat? | SELL | 0.976 | $82.96 |
| 10-03 00:04 | Will the Democratic Party win the PA-14 House seat? | SELL | 0.974 | $29.22 |
| 10-02 16:57 | Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | BUY | 0.933 | $111.03 |
| 10-01 18:30 | Will the Democratic Party win the GA-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.9548305085 | $112.67 |
| 10-01 18:25 | Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31? | SELL | 0.978 | $58.68 |
| 10-01 16:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? | BUY | 0.93 | $112.53 |
| 10-01 13:09 | Will the Republican Party win the NM-03 House seat? | SELL | 0.979 | $4.89 |