0x504130bf245a7d4ff2decf7f8997563f8a60619a
- Realised P&L
- $263.28
- Volume
- $16.2k
- Markets traded
- 203
- Open portfolio
- $313.19
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded203
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.08at 0.077Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?
- +$75.00at 0.037Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$52.50at 0.373Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$49.51at 0.210US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
- +$41.94at 0.338Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:01 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | SELL | 0.89 | $0.22 |
| 09-16 14:54 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | SELL | 0.89 | $6.85 |
| 09-13 12:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.22 | $7.23 |
| 09-13 11:58 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.22 | $5.13 |
| 09-11 12:35 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.21 | $17.69 |
| 09-11 12:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.25 | $7.32 |
| 09-11 12:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.26 |
| 09-11 12:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.25 | $8.22 |
| 09-11 12:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2199999975 | $16.10 |
| 09-11 12:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.79 | $7.81 |
| 09-11 12:29 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5999999314 | $1.75 |
| 09-11 12:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5999999714 | $4.19 |
| 09-09 15:58 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.63 | $0.92 |
| 09-09 15:57 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.63 | $10.27 |
| 09-09 15:57 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.63 | $10.26 |