0x504130bf245a7d4ff2decf7f8997563f8a60619a
0x504130bf245a7d4ff2decf7f8997563f8a60619a
- Realised P&L
- $265.05
- Volume
- $17.1k
- Markets traded
- 213
- Open portfolio
- $195.92
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded213
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.08at 0.077Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?
- +$75.00at 0.037Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$52.50at 0.373Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$49.51at 0.210US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
- +$41.94at 0.338Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 22:08 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.69 | $4.53 |
| 10-29 22:08 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.69 | $25.44 |
| 10-29 21:29 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.45 | $11.16 |
| 10-29 21:29 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4399999022 | $1.44 |
| 10-29 21:15 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.34 | $9.52 |
| 10-29 19:13 | Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.971 | $7.72 |
| 10-29 17:52 | Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.971 | $16.79 |
| 10-29 17:46 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | SELL | 0.996 | $64.00 |
| 10-29 17:46 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | SELL | 0.996 | $59.67 |
| 10-09 20:46 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | BUY | 0.9839999999 | $122.19 |
| 10-09 18:44 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.6699999811 | $13.84 |
| 10-09 18:44 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.669999992 | $18.51 |
| 10-09 18:44 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.6699999566 | $1.39 |
| 10-09 18:43 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.6699999772 | $7.36 |
| 10-06 19:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.60 |