0x82C358896aB2A1d506bB9962B4227F069d2090Cb-1766933588800
0x50329eff7cadddc24f3431e259d59c93d250715f
- Realised P&L
- $10.58
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.941 | 0.962 | $1.0k | +$22.17 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.775 | $15.50 | −$3.10 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.990 | $7.92 | +$0.64 |
| Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30? · No | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.88at 0.595Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.56at 0.431Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 07:30 | Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.28 |
| 08-01 04:16 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | BUY | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 07-16 15:47 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.583 | $9.91 |
| 07-16 02:47 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.42 | $10.02 |
| 07-15 12:58 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4189999835 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 12:56 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.961 | $9.61 |
| 06-24 14:57 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.941 | $1.0k |
| 06-24 02:31 | Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30? | BUY | 0.82 | $16.40 |