PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x82C358896aB2A1d506bB9962B4227F069d2090Cb-1766933588800

0x50329eff7cadddc24f3431e259d59c93d250715f

Realised P&L
$10.58
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9410.962$1.0k+$22.17
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? · Yes0.9300.775$15.50$3.10
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.9100.990$7.92+$0.64
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30? · No0.8200.000$0.00$16.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 07:30Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.91$7.28
08-01 04:16Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?BUY0.93$18.60
07-16 15:47Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.583$9.91
07-16 02:47Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.42$10.02
07-15 12:58Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4189999835$10.00
07-15 12:56Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.961$9.61
06-24 14:57Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.941$1.0k
06-24 02:31Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?BUY0.82$16.40